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Heat Pump vs. Electric Resistance vs. Gas Heating Cost

Compare the operating energy needed to deliver the same amount of heat. You control the utility prices and efficiency assumptions, so the result is a scenario you can inspect rather than a hidden national-average estimate.

Delivered heat to the building. Try 40–80 MMBtu as a planning range for many homes, then replace it with a better estimate if you have one.

Use your all-in marginal energy rate when possible, not a generic national average.

Use the variable or delivered therm price that changes with usage when your bill makes that available.

COP changes with weather and operating conditions. This is an explicit scenario input, not a claim about a particular model.

For example, enter 95 for a 95% AFUE furnace.

Scenario result

Heat pump is lowest in this scenario

Operating energy only. Installation and fixed utility charges are excluded.

Heat pump

$938

per year

Energy use
5,861 kWh
Cost / delivered MMBtu
$16

Electric resistance

$2,813

per year

Energy use
17,584 kWh
Cost / delivered MMBtu
$47

Gas furnace

$947

per year

Energy use
632 therms
Cost / delivered MMBtu
$16

Heat-pump savings vs. resistance

+$1,876

Positive means the heat pump costs less to operate than electric resistance for the same delivered heat.

Heat-pump savings vs. gas

+$10

Positive means the heat pump costs less to operate than the gas furnace in this scenario.

Break-even energy prices

Gas price where gas and heat pump tie

$1.48 / therm

Your entered gas rate is $1.50 / therm.

Electricity price where heat pump and gas tie

$0.162 / kWh

Your entered electricity rate is $0.160 / kWh.

Heat pump

kWh = delivered BTU ÷ (3,412.14 × COP)

COP is entered directly because real heat-pump efficiency changes with outdoor temperature, compressor speed, defrost, and the equipment itself.

Electric resistance

kWh = delivered BTU ÷ 3,412.14

This treats electric resistance heat as converting electrical energy to useful heat at the point of use without heat-pump multiplication.

Gas furnace

therms = delivered BTU ÷ (100,000 × AFUE)

AFUE is entered as the share of fuel energy assumed to become useful seasonal heat in this simplified comparison.

What the calculator does not include

It does not estimate installation cost, financing, rebates, fixed customer charges, demand charges, service fees, maintenance, equipment life, duct losses, backup heat, or future energy-price escalation.

It also does not predict a building's annual heat requirement. If you do not have a utility-history or load-based estimate, treat the MMBtu input as a scenario variable and test a range.

Why these assumptions are reasonable

The U.S. Department of Energy explains that heat pumps move heat rather than generate all delivered heat directly, which is why they can use substantially less electricity than electric resistance heating. DOE also publishes current air-source heat-pump efficiency guidance using metrics such as HSPF2 and COP.

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